In a recent coaching session with my client Mack, we discussed how to plan out his value bets. This week, he reached back out with a question about how to plan out his bluffs.
One thing my clients love is sending me their hands and having me review them in real time. (They’ll typically cut together 5-6 hands from an online session and then I’ll record myself talking through them).
I’ve had many requests from readers asking me to pull back the curtain and show what my private coaching practice is like, and Mack was kind enough to share one of his hands with all of you.
(There’s a video below, but before you watch, be sure to read through the rest of this post so you’re familiar with the exact process I’ll be covering!)
In this week’s ‘Hand of the Day’, you will learn:
• How to adapt to the current poker landscape with an influx of new players due to the Covid-19 lockdown
• How to use blockers to your advantage
• A simple way to calculate your pot odds in real time
• How to time your bluffs for success
• How to size your bets
• And much, much more.
One of the key takeaways from this video is weighing your pot odds against your equity (or chance of winning) to determine if you are getting the right price.
During our coaching calls this is one of the strategies I walk my clients through. It’s crucial to for my clients to master because once they learn this skill, they can then ‘solve’ for any situation they face in the future.
The process works like this:
It’s called my ‘Intro to Hand Reading’ and you can get immediate access to it by entering your email below. FYI, you will get an option to purchase some of our premier content as well, but there’s no pressure to do so at any time.
In the hand that Mack sent me, he raised preflop with AdKh in the CO to $0.06 on $0.01/$0.02 blinds, and the button called.
The flop came down: Qs Js 9c and Mack checked. His opponent bet $0.06. The first question I encourage Mack to ponder is, ‘what is his opponent’s hand range?’
While it will of course vary by player, you can say the button’s range looks something like this (see the hands highlighted in yellow and green).
Written out, it would look like this: 99, AJs-A9s, As8s-As2s, Ad8d-Ad2d, K9s+, Q9s+, J8s+, T8s+, 98s, 8s7s, 7s6s, 6s5s, 5s4s, AJo-ATo, KTo+, QTo+, JTo
Poker math doesn’t haven’t to be complicated. Calculate your pot odds by using this formula:
Pot Odds = (Pot + Bet)/Bet
For example, in the hand that Mack sent me, he’s facing a dilemma on the flop.
The pot was $0.15 and his opponent bet $0.06.
Therefore, his pot odds would be:
$0.15 (Pot) + $0.06 (Bet) / $0.06 (Bet)
$0.21 / $0.06
Once you’ve calculated your pot odds, you need to determine your breakeven point (BE). Your breakeven point in poker is the minimum amount of equity you need to justify calling. In other words, it’s the minimum odds you need to justify calling a bet.
Perhaps you’ve heard people say, ‘I’m not getting the right price.’
This is what they are referring to.
Fortunately, I’ve made this process extremely simple by creating a ‘Poker Pot Odds Cheat Sheet’, which is neatly packaged inside a course called ‘Mastering Poker Math’. It’s just one of the many features of our Membership at Conscious Poker.
If you had that simple cheat sheet memorized, you’d know that getting 3.5:1 pot odds, you need 22.5% equity to justify calling.
(The cheat sheet actually takes it one step further and removes the need for you to calculate pot odds all together. It simply tells you your breakeven point based on your opponent’s bet size!)
Now, simply compare your pot odds to your equity and see you’re getting the right price. If you recall from the screenshot above, Mack’s equity with AK against the button’s range is 30%.
Since his equity (30%) is greater than his breakeven point or pot odds (22.5%), then he should call. It’s as simple as that.
Not sure how to calculate your equity in real time?
I walk you through that exact process, step by step inside our course ‘Hand Reading Foundation’, which is also part of the Membership. It’s literally the best thing I’ve built.
Of course, there’s more to this story, such as how to plan out your poker bluffs, which I cover in detail in the video. Be sure to check it out for the entire hand review.
Finally, you may be looking for an expedited approach to learning and to fast track your results.
You can apply to work with me directly to oversee your poker game, help you achieve your poker goals and come out of this quarantine ahead of the curve.
Simply click the banner below and schedule something with me directly.
Thanks for your attention and best of luck on your poker journey.
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